I'm am not shure about all this.
as much as i can understand the desire for cheaper software, i see the danger that if MAXON introduces something like this, it will be cheaper for individual users, but in return, according to the other software packages, much more expensive for everyone else, including smaller studios.
If they introduce a indie license the "normal license" will go up in cost, I have no douped about that. And when you look to the competitors, then there is quite some potential to a price increase by a factor or more.
But on the other hand I think MAXON is not so much threatened by the big commercial competitors. Rather, all commercial developers are threatened by Blender. In this respect, it would perhaps be more appropriate to release a free version, e.g. the version that is already included in the creative cloud. so beginners could convince themselves of the superior user experience, instead of learning Blender from the beginning.
Best regards
Jops